COVID-19 Pandemic Situation Report
as at 27 October 2024

Actual data from WHO (World Health Organization), and areppim S-curve projections for selected countries:

World: total deaths

How many fatalities did Covid-19 actually cause? Official WHO data says close to 7 million at the present date. But a recently published WHO study estimates 14.83 million excess deaths globally, 2.74 times more deaths than the 5.42 million reported as due to COVID-19 for the period 2020-2021.

Our projection is obtained by a logistic regression based on the actual numbers provided by ECDC and by WHO. In those cases where significant bumps in the time series suggest a definite change of direction, we fitted the regression curve by means of a multi-logistic function.

World: total infection cases

World: total cases — Situation as of 27 October 2024, World:
   Total infection cases: 776,754,317 or 9.58 percent of the population.
   Last 7-day reported cases: 53,126 or a new infection ratio of 0.66 per 100,000 people.
   Last 7-day reported deaths: 641.
   Death toll: 7,073,466 or 0.91 percent of the infected cases.

Covid-19 Situation by WHO Region
As of 27 October 2024
Region	Total cases		Total deaths
Africa	9,583,895	36.1%	175,531	32.2%
Americas	193,306,662	26.9%	3,038,661	6.0%
Eastern Mediterranean	23,417,911	24.9%	351,975	43.0%
Europe	280,542,492	7.9%	2,276,876	11.4%
South-East Asia	61,321,320	3.0%	808,852	5.0%
Western Pacific	208,581,273	1.2%	421,558	2.5%
Global	776,754,317	100.0%	7,073,466	100.0%
Source : WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard retrieved on 10 November 2024.

A number of countries have stopped reporting or changed their frequency of reporting COVID-19 case and death counts to WHO. An outcome of these differences in reporting is that WHO may receive daily data from some countries, while other countries may only report data to WHO once every 14 days. In addition, countries differ in how they choose to report statistics; some countries provide their data attributed to specific dates while others who report less frequently may group data from 7 days into a single statistic attributed to a week in their reporting. As of 21 October 2023, WHO declared that it is no longer necessary for Member States to report daily counts of cases and deaths to WHO and requested strengthening of weekly reporting. (WHO)

On Aug.9 2023, the World Health Organization flagged a new Covid-19 variant that’s spreading quickly and widely. Nicknamed “Eris” and officially designated EG.5, the new offshoot is rapidly gaining ground across the world. Covid-19 hospitalizations in the USA are rising, fueled by heat and waning protection. Weekly US hospital admissions rose 43% from late June. Occasional bumps in cases likely to continue, experts say.

In short, albeit the World Health Organization ended the global emergency status for COVID-19 on Friday, 10 June 2023, more than three years after its original declaration, the world did not get rid of the disease yet.

Covid-19 7-day cumulative cases

25 countries with the world highest 14-day case notification rates — 25 countries with the world highest 7-day case notification numbers as of 27 October 2024. Source: WHO, retrieved on 10 November 2024.

Situation in 12 selected countries :

China total cases

France total cases

Germany total cases

Iran total cases

Italy total cases

Portugal total cases

Spain total cases

Switzerland total cases

United Kingdom total cases

United States total cases

To assess the seriousness of the pandemic situation, ECDC established the following benchmarks:

COVID-19 significant thresholds
	LEVEL 4 VERY HIGH	LEVEL 3 HIGH	LEVEL 2 MODERATE	LEVEL 1 LOW
Incidence Rate (Last 7-day reported cases over past 28 days per 100,000 population)	More than 500	100-500	50-99	Fewer than 50

Note ECDC has been areppim's provider of data on the pandemic until 20 June 2022, when it discontinued the data collection and publication of the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths worldwide. Thereafter, we reverted to WHO data series to pursue our monitoring of the pandemic. This change of source may render historical comparisons hazardous.
Starting from the week of 20 February 2023, the dashboard is updated by WHO once per week on Wednesdays.

Previous reports available :

March 2020 : 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31