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Actual data from ECDC (EU's European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control), and areppim S-curve projections for selected countries:
| World total deaths | World total cases | 14-day cumulative notifications | China total cases | France total cases | Germany total cases | Iran total cases | Italy total cases | Portugal total cases | Spain total cases | Switzerland total cases | United Kingdom total cases | United States total cases |
Week ending on 12 April 2021, World:
Death toll: 2,941,697 or 2.16 percent of the infected cases.
New deaths: 86,614.
Total infection cases: 136,210,895 or 1.75 percent of the population.
New infection cases: 4,852,256 or a new infection ratio of 62.24 per 100,000 people.
Our projection is obtained by a logistic regression based on the actual numbers provided by ECDC. In those cases where significant bumps in the time series suggest a definite change of direction, we fitted the regression curve by means of a multi-logistic function.
See more charts of deaths projections »
Week ending on 12 April 2021, World:
Total infection cases: 136,210,895 or 1.75 percent of the population.
New cases: 4,852,256 or a new infection ratio of 62.24 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 86,614.
Death toll: 2,941,697 or 2.16 percent of the infected cases.
By continent:
Africa Africa total cases : 4,346,813 ; total deaths : 115,664 .
America America total cases : 58,946,038 ; total deaths : 1,424,709 .
Asia Asia total cases : 26,625,834 ; total deaths : 403,748 .
Europe Europe total cases : 46,521,544 ; total deaths : 999,410 .
Oceania Oceania total cases : 67,540 ; total deaths : 1,290 .
The pandemic containment, partially achieved after the administrations enforced anti-contagion measures upon the pandemic declaration by the World Health Organization in March 2020, gave way to a generalized surge of the infection with the arrival of the summer season. People in charge defined their dilemma as a choice between saving the economy, or saving the public health, and opted clearly for the first option, the economy.
They took that course of action without implementing the specific instruments and tools to trace the disease, test the suspected cases, quarantinize and take care of the positive ones, while ensuring that people in need without a remunerated job would get a minimum income, and citizens could go about their business enjoying safe transportation, safe shopping, and safe work conditions. The responsible agencies should have reconfigured or provided such facilities, in the absence of which the pandemic couldn’t but enjoy a new boom.
Our forecasts show that the pandemic will spread further along the year, although it will fade out eventually. The question is when will this happen. Equally important, what will be the final price to pay for the incompetence of those in power. It is highly likely that the latter will have sacrificed public health on the altar of the economy, without achieving anything but another mega economic crisis, leaving behind a trail of several million fatalities, and of about scores of millions of convalescents in a more or less pitiful shape. What a repulsing and contemptible record!
Week ending on 12 April 2021, these are the 25 countries with the world highest 14-day case notification rates. The 14-day notification rate of new Covid-19 cases is one of the main indicators used by ECDC to build its recommendations. Some interesting markers:
World World 14-day notification rate — median : 15 | highest : 500 .
Africa Africa 14-day notification rate — median : 10 | highest : 32 .
America America 14-day notification rate — median : 163 | highest : 500 .
Asia Asia 14-day notification rate — median : 20 | highest : 57 .
Europe Europe 14-day notification rate — median : 60 | highest : 471 .
Oceania Oceania 14-day notification rate — median : 3 | highest : 16 .
Week ending on 12 April 2021, China:
Total infection cases: 102,056 or 0.01 percent of the population.
New cases: 196 or a new infection ratio of 0.014 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 2.
Death toll: 4,843 or 4.75 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, France:
Total infection cases: 5,058,680 or 7.75 percent of the population.
New cases: 236,210 or a new infection ratio of 361.88 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 2,100.
Death toll: 98,778 or 1.95 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, Germany:
Total infection cases: 3,011,513 or 3.59 percent of the population.
New cases: 117,630 or a new infection ratio of 140.40 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,439.
Death toll: 78,452 or 2.61 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, Iran:
Total infection cases: 2,049,078 or 2.44 percent of the population.
New cases: 117,004 or a new infection ratio of 139.30 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,072.
Death toll: 64,232 or 3.13 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, Italy:
Total infection cases: 3,769,814 or 6.24 percent of the population.
New cases: 101,550 or a new infection ratio of 167.96 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 3,224.
Death toll: 114,254 or 3.03 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, Portugal:
Total infection cases: 827,765 or 8.12 percent of the population.
New cases: 4,271 or a new infection ratio of 41.89 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 33.
Death toll: 16,918 or 2.04 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, Spain:
Total infection cases: 3,370,256 or 7.21 percent of the population.
New cases: 58,931 or a new infection ratio of 126.04 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 742.
Death toll: 76,525 or 2.27 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, Switzerland:
Total infection cases: 623,126 or 7.20 percent of the population.
New cases: 20,548 or a new infection ratio of 237.42 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 89.
Death toll: 9,766 or 1.57 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, United Kingdom:
Total infection cases: 4,373,343 or 6.49 percent of the population.
New cases: 13,955 or a new infection ratio of 20.72 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 264.
Death toll: 127,100 or 2.91 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 12 April 2021, USA:
Total infection cases: 31,268,132 or 9.45 percent of the population.
New cases: 562,003 or a new infection ratio of 169.79 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 7,532.
Death toll: 562,533 or 1.80 percent of the infected cases.
Previous reports available :
March 2020 : 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
April 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
May 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
June 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
July 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
August 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
September 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
October 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
November 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
December 2020 : 1 7 10 13 17 23 30
January 2021 : Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
February 2021 : Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
March 2021 : Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5
April 2021 : Week 1