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Actual data from ECDC (EU's European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control), and areppim S-curve projections for selected countries:
| World total deaths | World total cases | 14-day cumulative notifications | China total cases | France total cases | Germany total cases | Iran total cases | Italy total cases | Portugal total cases | Spain total cases | Switzerland total cases | United Kingdom total cases | United States total cases |
Week ending on 29 March 2021, World:
Death toll: 2,791,049 or 2.19 percent of the infected cases.
New deaths: 69,090.
Total infection cases: 127,628,223 or 1.64 percent of the population.
New infection cases: 3,992,117 or a new infection ratio of 51.21 per 100,000 people.
Our projection is obtained by a logistic regression based on the actual numbers provided by ECDC. In those cases where significant bumps in the time series suggest a definite change of direction, we fitted the regression curve by means of a multi-logistic function.
See more charts of deaths projections »
Week ending on 29 March 2021, World:
Total infection cases: 127,628,223 or 1.64 percent of the population.
New cases: 3,992,117 or a new infection ratio of 51.21 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 69,090.
Death toll: 2,791,049 or 2.19 percent of the infected cases.
By continent:
Africa total cases : 4,186,456 ; total deaths : 111,945 .
America total cases : 56,084,701 ; total deaths : 1,348,214 .
Asia total cases : 24,072,463 ; total deaths : 383,005 .
Europe total cases : 43,220,869 ; total deaths : 946,622 .
Oceania total cases : 63,734 ; total deaths : 1,263 .
The pandemic containment, partially achieved after the administrations enforced anti-contagion measures upon the pandemic declaration by the World Health Organization in March 2020, gave way to a generalized surge of the infection with the arrival of the summer season. People in charge defined their dilemma as a choice between saving the economy, or saving the public health, and opted clearly for the first option, the economy.
They took that course of action without implementing the specific instruments and tools to trace the disease, test the suspected cases, quarantinize and take care of the positive ones, while ensuring that people in need without a remunerated job would get a minimum income, and citizens could go about their business enjoying safe transportation, safe shopping, and safe work conditions. The responsible agencies should have reconfigured or provided such facilities, in the absence of which the pandemic couldn’t but enjoy a new boom.
Our forecasts show that the pandemic will spread further along the year, although it will fade out eventually. The question is when will this happen. Equally important, what will be the final price to pay for the incompetence of those in power. It is highly likely that the latter will have sacrificed public health on the altar of the economy, without achieving anything but another mega economic crisis, leaving behind a trail of several million fatalities, and of about scores of millions of convalescents in a more or less pitiful shape. What a repulsing and contemptible record!
Week ending on 29 March 2021, these are the 25 countries with the world highest 14-day case notification rates. The 14-day notification rate of new Covid-19 cases is one of the main indicators used by ECDC to build its recommendations. Some interesting markers:
World World 14-day notification rate — median : 15 | highest : 500 .
Africa Africa 14-day notification rate — median : 10 | highest : 32 .
America America 14-day notification rate — median : 159 | highest : 500 .
Asia Asia 14-day notification rate — median : 19 | highest : 37 .
Europe Europe 14-day notification rate — median : 58 | highest : 471 .
Oceania Oceania 14-day notification rate — median : 3 | highest : 16 .
Week ending on 29 March 2021, China:
Total infection cases: 101,676 or 0.01 percent of the population.
New cases: 125 or a new infection ratio of 0.009 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 2.
Death toll: 4,841 or 4.76 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, France:
Total infection cases: 4,545,589 or 6.96 percent of the population.
New cases: 262,986 or a new infection ratio of 402.90 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 2,318.
Death toll: 94,623 or 2.08 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, Germany:
Total infection cases: 2,782,273 or 3.32 percent of the population.
New cases: 115,048 or a new infection ratio of 137.32 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,199.
Death toll: 75,913 or 2.73 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, Iran:
Total infection cases: 1,846,923 or 2.20 percent of the population.
New cases: 45,858 or a new infection ratio of 54.60 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 511.
Death toll: 62,308 or 3.37 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, Italy:
Total infection cases: 3,532,057 or 5.84 percent of the population.
New cases: 155,681 or a new infection ratio of 257.49 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 2,991.
Death toll: 107,933 or 3.06 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, Portugal:
Total infection cases: 820,716 or 8.05 percent of the population.
New cases: 2,938 or a new infection ratio of 28.81 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 59.
Death toll: 16,843 or 2.05 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, Spain:
Total infection cases: 3,270,825 or 7.00 percent of the population.
New cases: 42,022 or a new infection ratio of 89.88 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,656.
Death toll: 75,199 or 2.30 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, Switzerland:
Total infection cases: 594,043 or 6.86 percent of the population.
New cases: 12,504 or a new infection ratio of 144.48 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 122.
Death toll: 9,589 or 1.61 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, United Kingdom:
Total infection cases: 4,333,042 or 6.44 percent of the population.
New cases: 36,459 or a new infection ratio of 54.15 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 437.
Death toll: 126,592 or 2.92 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 29 March 2021, USA:
Total infection cases: 30,331,794 or 9.16 percent of the population.
New cases: 512,686 or a new infection ratio of 154.89 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 7,677.
Death toll: 550,036 or 1.81 percent of the infected cases.
Previous reports available :
March 2020 : 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
April 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
May 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
June 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
July 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
August 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
September 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
October 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
November 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
December 2020 : 1 7 10 13 17 23 30
January 2021 : Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4