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Actual data from ECDC (EU's European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control), and areppim S-curve projections for selected countries:
| World total deaths | World total cases | 14-day cumulative notifications | China total cases | France total cases | Germany total cases | Iran total cases | Italy total cases | Portugal total cases | Spain total cases | Switzerland total cases | United Kingdom total cases | United States total cases |
Week ending on 15 March 2021, World:
Death toll: 2,659,796 or 2.21 percent of the infected cases.
New deaths: 60,723.
Total infection cases: 120,267,722 or 1.54 percent of the population.
New infection cases: 3,107,830 or a new infection ratio of 39.87 per 100,000 people.
Our projection is obtained by a logistic regression based on the actual numbers provided by ECDC. In those cases where significant bumps in the time series suggest a definite change of direction, we fitted the regression curve by means of a multi-logistic function.
See more charts of deaths projections »
Week ending on 15 March 2021, World:
Total infection cases: 120,267,722 or 1.54 percent of the population.
New cases: 3,107,830 or a new infection ratio of 39.87 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 60,723.
Death toll: 2,659,796 or 2.21 percent of the infected cases.
By continent:
Africa total cases : 4,045,716 ; total deaths : 107,826 .
America total cases : 53,497,254 ; total deaths : 1,282,028 .
Asia total cases : 22,641,603 ; total deaths : 371,037 .
Europe total cases : 40,023,320 ; total deaths : 897,671 .
Oceania total cases : 59,829 ; total deaths : 1,234 .
The pandemic containment, partially achieved after the administrations enforced anti-contagion measures upon the pandemic declaration by the World Health Organization in March 2020, gave way to a generalized surge of the infection with the arrival of the summer season. People in charge defined their dilemma as a choice between saving the economy, or saving the public health, and opted clearly for the first option, the economy.
They took that course of action without implementing the specific instruments and tools to trace the disease, test the suspected cases, quarantinize and take care of the positive ones, while ensuring that people in need without a remunerated job would get a minimum income, and citizens could go about their business enjoying safe transportation, safe shopping, and safe work conditions. The responsible agencies should have reconfigured or provided such facilities, in the absence of which the pandemic couldn’t but enjoy a new boom.
Our forecasts show that the pandemic will spread further along the year, although it will fade out eventually. The question is when will this happen. Equally important, what will be the final price to pay for the incompetence of those in power. It is highly likely that the latter will have sacrificed public health on the altar of the economy, without achieving anything but another mega economic crisis, leaving behind a trail of several million fatalities, and of about scores of millions of convalescents in a more or less pitiful shape. What a repulsing and contemptible record!
Week ending on 15 March 2021, these are the 25 countries with the world highest 14-day case notification rates. The 14-day notification rate of new Covid-19 cases is one of the main indicators used by ECDC to build its recommendations. Some interesting markers:
World 14-day notification rate — median : 15 | highest : 500 .
Africa 14-day notification rate — median : 10 | highest : 32 .
America 14-day notification rate — median : 154 | highest : 500 .
Asia 14-day notification rate — median : 19 | highest : 37 .
Europe 14-day notification rate — median : 56 | highest : 471 .
Oceania 14-day notification rate — median : 3 | highest : 16 .
Week ending on 15 March 2021, China:
Total infection cases: 101,373 or 0.007 percent of the population.
New cases: 241 or a new infection ratio of 0.017 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1.
Death toll: 4,839 or 4.77 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, France:
Total infection cases: 4,071,662 or 6.24 percent of the population.
New cases: 167,429 or a new infection ratio of 256.50 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,855.
Death toll: 90,455 or 2.22 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, Germany:
Total infection cases: 2,575,849 or 3.07 percent of the population.
New cases: 70,656 or a new infection ratio of 84.33 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,484.
Death toll: 73,418 or 2.85 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, Iran:
Total infection cases: 1,746,953 or 2.08 percent of the population.
New cases: 65,271 or a new infection ratio of 77.71 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 636.
Death toll: 61,230 or 3.50 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, Italy:
Total infection cases: 3,223,142 or 5.33 percent of the population.
New cases: 155,656 or a new infection ratio of 257.45 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 2,360.
Death toll: 102,145 or 3.17 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, Portugal:
Total infection cases: 814,513 or 7.99 percent of the population.
New cases: 4,054 or a new infection ratio of 39.76 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 129.
Death toll: 16,694 or 2.05 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, Spain:
Total infection cases: 3,195,062 or 6.83 percent of the population.
New cases: 34,092 or a new infection ratio of 72.92 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 988.
Death toll: 72,424 or 2.27 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, Switzerland:
Total infection cases: 573,815 or 6.63 percent of the population.
New cases: 11,451 or a new infection ratio of 132.31 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 140.
Death toll: 9,434 or 1.64 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, United Kingdom:
Total infection cases: 4,258,438 or 6.32 percent of the population.
New cases: 39,918 or a new infection ratio of 59.28 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 1,015.
Death toll: 125,516 or 2.95 percent of the infected cases.
Week ending on 15 March 2021, USA:
Total infection cases: 29,495,422 or 8.91 percent of the population.
New cases: 506,660 or a new infection ratio of 153.07 per 100,000 people.
New deaths: 10,682.
Death toll: 535,661 or 1.82 percent of the infected cases.
Previous reports available :
March 2020 : 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
April 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
May 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
June 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
July 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
August 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
September 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
October 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
November 2020 : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
December 2020 : 1 7 10 13 17 23 30
January 2021 : Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4