COVID-19 Pandemic Situation Report
as at 2 July 2023

Actual data from WHO (World Health Organization), and areppim S-curve projections for selected countries:

World: total deaths

How many fatalities did Covid-19 actually cause? Official WHO data says close to 7 million at the present date. But a recently published WHO study estimates 14.83 million excess deaths globally, 2.74 times more deaths than the 5.42 million reported as due to COVID-19 for the period 2020-2021.

Our projection is obtained by a logistic regression based on the actual numbers provided by ECDC and by WHO. In those cases where significant bumps in the time series suggest a definite change of direction, we fitted the regression curve by means of a multi-logistic function.

World: total infection cases

World: total cases — Situation as of 2 July 2023, World:
   Total infection cases: 767,726,861 or 9.56 percent of the population.
   New reported cases: 168,668 or a new infection ratio of 2.10 per 100,000 people.
   New reported deaths: 864.
   Death toll: 6,948,764 or 0.91 percent of the infected cases.

Covid-19 Situation by WHO Region
As of 5 July 2023
Region	Nbr	Percent	Nbr	Percent	Nbr
	Total cases		Total deaths		Total vaccine doses per 100 population
Africa	9,541,129	1.2%	175,399	2.5%	55
Americas	204,787,106	26.7%	414,360	6.0%	241.25
Eastern Mediterranean	23,384,115	3.0%	351,346	5.1%	122.94
Europe	275,710,979	35.9%	2,243,918	32.3%	185.25
South-East Asia	61,191,036	8.0%	806,499	11.6%	165.75
Americas	193,111,732	25.2%	2,957,229	42.6%	208.05
Global	767,726,861	100.0%	6,948,764	100.0%	172.71
Source : WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard retrieved on 5 July 2023.

The World Health Organization ended the global emergency status for COVID-19 on Friday, 5 May 2023, more than three years after its original declaration, and said countries should now manage the virus that killed more than 6.9 million people along with other infectious diseases, reports Reuters.

"It is therefore with great hope that I declare COVID-19 over as a global health emergency, said WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, adding that the end of the emergency did not mean COVID was over as a global health threat.

Ending the emergency could mean that international collaboration or funding efforts are also brought to an end or shift in focus, although many have already adapted as the pandemic receded in different regions.

The battle is not over. We still have weaknesses and those weaknesses that we still have in our system will be exposed by this virus or another virus. And it needs to be fixed, said the WHO's emergencies director Michael Ryan.

Covid-19 7-day cumulative cases

25 countries with the world highest 14-day case notification rates. Source: WHO, retrieved on 5 July 2022.

Situation in 12 selected countries :

China total cases

France total cases

Germany total cases

Iran total cases

Italy total cases

Portugal total cases

Spain total cases

Switzerland total cases

United Kingdom total cases

United States total cases

To assess the seriousness of the pandemic situation, ECDC established the following benchmarks:

COVID-19 significant thresholds
	LEVEL 4 VERY HIGH	LEVEL 3 HIGH	LEVEL 2 MODERATE	LEVEL 1 LOW
Incidence Rate (New reported cases over past 28 days per 100,000 population)	More than 500	100-500	50-99	Fewer than 50

Note ECDC has been areppim's provider of data on the pandemic until 20 June 2022, when it discontinued the data collection and publication of the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths worldwide. Thereafter, we reverted to WHO data series to pursue our monitoring of the pandemic. This change of source may render historical comparisons hazardous.
Starting from the week of 20 February 2023, the dashboard is updated by WHO once per week on Wednesdays.

Previous reports available :

March 2020 : 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31