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Mobile Web (red dots and curve in the chart) may catch up with desktop Web (blue dots and curve in the chart) by late 2015, according to areppim's forecast based on the currently available data. Mobile Web's world market share grew to 34% by June 2015, against 60% for the desktop Web. An additional 6% share is owned by tablet and console devices, which are not taken into account in the chart, although they are reflected by the sudden swerving of the 2012 data points.
Mobile Web is moving up very fast since 2008, at the rate of 5.32% per month (doubling in size every 13 months), while desktop Web is steadily losing ground at the average monthly rate of -0.64%. After having crushed fixed telephone lines, mobile phones are posed to do likewise to the fixed line Web, consigning the latter to professional, heavy-duty undertakings.
Forecast | ||||
Date |
Mobile Web |
Desktop Web | ||
Actual |
Forecast ¹ |
Actual |
Forecast ¹ | |
| 2008-12 | 0.6 | -0.110 | 99.4 | 4.706 |
| 2009-01 | 0.67 | -0.058 | 99.33 | 4.699 |
| 2009-02 | 0.69 | -0.007 | 99.31 | 4.693 |
| 2009-03 | 0.8 | 0.045 | 99.2 | 4.686 |
| 2009-04 | 0.86 | 0.097 | 99.14 | 4.679 |
| 2009-05 | 0.86 | 0.148 | 99.14 | 4.672 |
| 2009-06 | 0.94 | 0.200 | 99.06 | 4.666 |
| 2009-07 | 1.05 | 0.251 | 98.95 | 4.659 |
| 2009-08 | 1.12 | 0.303 | 98.88 | 4.652 |
| 2009-09 | 1.12 | 0.354 | 98.88 | 4.645 |
| 2009-10 | 1.15 | 0.406 | 98.85 | 4.639 |
| 2009-11 | 1.21 | 0.457 | 98.79 | 4.632 |
| 2009-12 | 1.28 | 0.509 | 98.72 | 4.625 |
| 2010-01 | 1.56 | 0.560 | 98.44 | 4.618 |
| 2010-02 | 1.72 | 0.612 | 98.28 | 4.611 |
| 2010-03 | 1.96 | 0.663 | 98.04 | 4.605 |
| 2010-04 | 2.18 | 0.715 | 97.82 | 4.598 |
| 2010-05 | 2.32 | 0.766 | 97.68 | 4.591 |
| 2010-06 | 2.57 | 0.818 | 97.43 | 4.584 |
| 2010-07 | 2.86 | 0.869 | 97.14 | 4.578 |
| 2010-08 | 3.21 | 0.921 | 96.79 | 4.571 |
| 2010-09 | 3.5 | 0.973 | 96.5 | 4.564 |
| 2010-10 | 3.81 | 1.024 | 96.19 | 4.557 |
| 2010-11 | 4.02 | 1.076 | 95.98 | 4.551 |
| 2010-12 | 4.1 | 1.127 | 95.9 | 4.544 |
| 2011-01 | 4.3 | 1.179 | 95.7 | 4.537 |
| 2011-02 | 4.45 | 1.230 | 95.55 | 4.530 |
| 2011-03 | 4.7 | 1.282 | 95.3 | 4.524 |
| 2011-04 | 5.21 | 1.333 | 94.79 | 4.517 |
| 2011-05 | 5.75 | 1.385 | 94.25 | 4.510 |
| 2011-06 | 6.53 | 1.436 | 93.47 | 4.503 |
| 2011-07 | 7.02 | 1.488 | 92.98 | 4.497 |
| 2011-08 | 7.12 | 1.539 | 92.88 | 4.490 |
| 2011-09 | 6.74 | 1.591 | 93.26 | 4.483 |
| 2011-10 | 6.55 | 1.642 | 93.45 | 4.476 |
| 2011-11 | 6.95 | 1.694 | 93.05 | 4.470 |
| 2011-12 | 8.04 | 1.745 | 91.96 | 4.463 |
| 2012-01 | 8.49 | 1.797 | 91.51 | 4.456 |
| 2012-02 | 8.53 | 1.849 | 91.47 | 4.449 |
| 2012-03 | 8.99 | 1.900 | 91.01 | 4.443 |
| 2012-04 | 9.58 | 1.952 | 90.42 | 4.436 |
| 2012-05 | 10.11 | 2.003 | 89.89 | 4.429 |
| 2012-06 | 10.4 | 2.055 | 89.6 | 4.422 |
| 2012-07 | 11.09 | 2.106 | 88.91 | 4.416 |
| 2012-08 | 11.43 | 2.158 | 85.57 | 4.409 |
| 2012-09 | 11.65 | 2.209 | 85.22 | 4.402 |
| 2012-10 | 11.91 | 2.261 | 84.91 | 4.395 |
| 2012-11 | 12.64 | 2.312 | 84.02 | 4.389 |
| 2012-12 | 14.02 | 2.364 | 82.32 | 4.382 |
| 2013-01 | 13.55 | 2.415 | 82.3 | 4.375 |
| 2013-02 | 13.7 | 2.467 | 81.76 | 4.368 |
| 2013-03 | 13.77 | 2.518 | 81.6 | 4.362 |
| 2013-04 | 13.29 | 2.570 | 82.34 | 4.355 |
| 2013-05 | 13.97 | 2.621 | 81.59 | 4.348 |
| 2013-06 | 15.31 | 2.673 | 79.92 | 4.341 |
| 2013-07 | 16.49 | 2.725 | 78.56 | 4.335 |
| 2013-08 | 17.12 | 2.776 | 77.98 | 4.328 |
| 2013-09 | 16.96 | 2.828 | 78.31 | 4.321 |
| 2013-10 | 18.76 | 2.879 | 76.61 | 4.314 |
| 2013-11 | 19.07 | 2.931 | 76.07 | 4.307 |
| 2013-12 | 22.16 | 2.982 | 72.48 | 4.301 |
| 2014-01 | 22.37 | 3.034 | 71.87 | 4.294 |
| 2014-02 | 23.22 | 3.085 | 70.91 | 4.287 |
| 2014-03 | 23.91 | 3.137 | 70.15 | 4.280 |
| 2014-04 | 23.53 | 3.188 | 70.53 | 4.274 |
| 2014-05 | 25.39 | 3.240 | 68.48 | 4.267 |
| 2014-06 | 26.64 | 3.291 | 66.86 | 4.260 |
| 2014-07 | 27.48 | 3.343 | 65.75 | 4.253 |
| 2014-08 | 28.53 | 3.394 | 64.58 | 4.247 |
| 2014-09 | 29.33 | 3.446 | 63.78 | 4.240 |
| 2014-10 | 30.65 | 3.497 | 62.71 | 4.233 |
| 2014-11 | 31.5 | 3.549 | 61.85 | 4.226 |
| 2014-12 | 31.79 | 3.601 | 61.62 | 4.220 |
| 2015-01 | 31.03 | 3.652 | 62.31 | 4.213 |
| 2015-02 | 30.77 | 3.704 | 62.54 | 4.206 |
| 2015-03 | 31.54 | 3.755 | 62.18 | 4.199 |
| 2015-04 | 31.52 | 3.807 | 62.65 | 4.193 |
| 2015-05 | 32.79 | 3.858 | 61.43 | 4.186 |
| 2015-06 | 34.18 | 3.910 | 60.06 | 4.179 |
| 2015-07 | 3.961 | 4.172 | ||
| 2015-08 | 4.013 | 4.166 | ||
| 2015-09 | 4.064 | 4.159 | ||
| 2015-10 | 4.116 | 4.152 | ||
| 2015-11 | 4.167 | 4.145 | ||
| 2015-12 | 4.219 | 4.139 | ||
| 2016-01 | 4.270 | 4.132 | ||
| 2016-02 | 4.322 | 4.125 | ||
| 2016-03 | 4.373 | 4.118 | ||
| 2016-04 | 4.425 | 4.112 | ||
| 2016-05 | 4.477 | 4.105 | ||
| 2016-06 | 4.528 | 4.098 | ||
| 2016-07 | 4.580 | 4.091 | ||
| 2016-08 | 4.631 | 4.085 | ||
| 2016-09 | 4.683 | 4.078 | ||
| 2016-10 | 4.734 | 4.071 | ||
| 2016-11 | 4.786 | 4.064 | ||
| 2016-12 | 4.837 | 4.058 | ||
| 2017-01 | 4.889 | 4.051 | ||
| 2017-02 | 4.940 | 4.044 | ||
| 2017-03 | 4.992 | 4.037 | ||
| 2017-04 | 5.043 | 4.030 | ||
| 2017-05 | 5.095 | 4.024 | ||
| 2017-06 | 5.146 | 4.017 | ||
| 2017-07 | 5.198 | 4.010 | ||
| 2017-08 | 5.249 | 4.003 | ||
| 2017-09 | 5.301 | 3.997 | ||
| 2017-10 | 5.353 | 3.990 | ||
| 2017-11 | 5.404 | 3.983 | ||
| 2017-12 | 5.456 | 3.976 | ||
| 2018-01 | 5.507 | 3.970 | ||
| 2018-02 | 5.559 | 3.963 | ||
| 2018-03 | 5.610 | 3.956 | ||
| 2018-04 | 5.662 | 3.949 | ||
| 2018-05 | 5.713 | 3.943 | ||
| 2018-06 | 5.765 | 3.936 | ||
| 2018-07 | 5.816 | 3.929 | ||
| 2018-08 | 5.868 | 3.922 | ||
| 2018-09 | 5.919 | 3.916 | ||
| 2018-10 | 5.971 | 3.909 | ||
| 2018-11 | 6.022 | 3.902 | ||
| 2018-12 | 6.074 | 3.895 | ||
| 2019-01 | 6.125 | 3.889 | ||
| 2019-02 | 6.177 | 3.882 | ||
| 2019-03 | 6.229 | 3.875 | ||
| 2019-04 | 6.280 | 3.868 | ||
| 2019-05 | 6.332 | 3.862 | ||
| 2019-06 | 6.383 | 3.855 | ||
| 2019-07 | 6.435 | 3.848 | ||
| 2019-08 | 6.486 | 3.841 | ||
| 2019-09 | 6.538 | 3.835 | ||
| 2019-10 | 6.589 | 3.828 | ||
| 2019-11 | 6.641 | 3.821 | ||
| 2019-12 | 6.692 | 3.814 | ||
| 2020-01 | 6.744 | 3.808 | ||
| 2020-02 | 6.795 | 3.801 | ||
| 2020-03 | 6.847 | 3.794 | ||
| 2020-04 | 6.898 | 3.787 | ||
| 2020-05 | 6.950 | 3.781 | ||
| 2020-06 | 7.002 | 3.774 | ||
| 2020-07 | 7.053 | 3.767 | ||
| 2020-08 | 7.105 | 3.760 | ||
| 2020-09 | 7.156 | 3.753 | ||
| 2020-10 | 7.208 | 3.747 | ||
| 2020-11 | 7.259 | 3.740 | ||
| 2020-12 | 7.311 | 3.733 | ||
| Monthly average change rate (Dec 2008-June 2015) | 5.32% | -0.64% | ||
| ¹ Technology substitution forecast | ||||
Source: StatCounter Global Stats
