Insight : Euro 2008 winning potential
Winning is not a matter of being better or scoring many goals. It is simply a question of having a goal differential marginally superior to that of the opponent teams. To win a game, it is necessary and sufficient to score one goal more than the competing team.
The winning potential of the Euro 2008 teams may be assessed by measuring their offensive and their defensive capability, in terms of the relationship between goals scored and goals conceded.
Euro 2008 qualifying football statistics show two distinct sets of football teams (see chart):
Forecasting is very difficult, especially forecasting the future, someone said. However, the odds are that Germany is likely to outperform Sweden in the Euro 2008 tournament. What is your guess?