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Business Cycle Reference Dates ¹ | Duration In Months | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peak | Trough | Contraction | Expansion | Cycle | |
Peak to Trough | Previous trough to this peak | Trough from Previous Trough | Peak from Previous Peak | ||
December 1854 (IV) | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
June 1857(II) | December 1858 (IV) | 18 | 30 | 48 | -- |
October 1860(III) | June 1861 (III) | 8 | 22 | 30 | 40 |
April 1865(I) | December 1867 (I) | 32 | 46 | 78 | 54 |
June 1869(II) | December 1870 (IV) | 18 | 18 | 36 | 50 |
October 1873(III) | March 1879 (I) | 65 | 34 | 99 | 52 |
March 1882(I) | May 1885 (II) | 38 | 36 | 74 | 101 |
March 1887(II) | April 1888 (I) | 13 | 22 | 35 | 60 |
July 1890(III) | May 1891 (II) | 10 | 27 | 37 | 40 |
January 1893(I) | June 1894 (II) | 17 | 20 | 37 | 30 |
December 1895(IV) | June 1897 (II) | 18 | 18 | 36 | 35 |
June 1899(III) | December 1900 (IV) | 18 | 24 | 42 | 42 |
September 1902(IV) | August 1904 (III) | 23 | 21 | 44 | 39 |
May 1907(II) | June 1908 (II) | 13 | 33 | 46 | 56 |
January 1910(I) | January 1912 (IV) | 24 | 19 | 43 | 32 |
January 1913(I) | December 1914 (IV) | 23 | 12 | 35 | 36 |
August 1918(III) | March 1919 (I) | 7 | 44 | 51 | 67 |
January 1920(I) | July 1921 (III) | 18 | 10 | 28 | 17 |
May 1923(II) | July 1924 (III) | 14 | 22 | 36 | 40 |
October 1926(III) | November 1927 (IV) | 13 | 27 | 40 | 41 |
August 1929(III) | March 1933 (I) | 43 | 21 | 64 | 34 |
May 1937(II) | June 1938 (II) | 13 | 50 | 63 | 93 |
February 1945(I) | October 1945 (IV) | 8 | 80 | 88 | 93 |
November 1948(IV) | October 1949 (IV) | 11 | 37 | 48 | 45 |
July 1953(II) | May 1954 (II) | 10 | 45 | 55 | 56 |
August 1957(III) | April 1958 (II) | 8 | 39 | 47 | 49 |
April 1960(II) | February 1961 (I) | 10 | 24 | 34 | 32 |
December 1969(IV) | November 1970 (IV) | 11 | 106 | 117 | 116 |
November 1973(IV) | March 1975 (I) | 16 | 36 | 52 | 47 |
January 1980(I) | July 1980 (III) | 6 | 58 | 64 | 74 |
July 1981(III) | November 1982 (IV) | 16 | 12 | 28 | 18 |
July 1990(III) | March 1991(I) | 8 | 92 | 100 | 108 |
March 2001(I) | November 2001 (IV) | 8 | 120 | 128 | 128 |
December 2007 (IV) | June 2009 (II) | 18 | 73 | 91 | 81 |
Average, all cycles: | |||||
1854-2009 (33 cycles) | 17.5 | 38.7 | 56.2 | 56.4 ² | |
1854-1919 (16 cycles) | 21.6 | 26.6 | 48.2 | 48.9 ³ | |
1919-1945 (6 cycles) | 18.2 | 35 | 53.2 | 53 | |
1945-2009 (11 cycles) | 11.1 | 58.4 | 69.5 | 68.5 | |
¹ Quarterly dates are in parentheses. ² 32 cycles. ³ 15 cycle. Latest announcement from the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee, dated 9/20/10. |