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COVID-19 Pandemic

The daily situation report on a set of selected countries. Our plain, one curve, non-linear forecasts illustrate the path followed by the pandemic to date, and provide a clear picture of what is likely to happen in the near future if executives pursue their customary course of action, and if no dramatic event worsens the situation.

Covid-19 Reporting Schedule   

ECDC, our source for the pandemic data, switched to a weekly reporting schedule from 17 December onwards.

For the sake of consistency, and considering that other reporting sources such as the World Health Organization or Johns Hopkins University do not track data in exactly the same manner as ECDC, we at areppim shall continue collecting data from the usual source, and will therefore adhere to ECDC's schedule. Henceforth our situation reports will appear every Thursday (2020-12-31).


arrow    Check the situation in selected countries »


Worldwide Covid-19 still running wild: fatalities exceed 3.2 million, infections over 153 million worldwide.

World: total deaths

Week ending on 3 May 2021, World:
   Death toll: 3,209,352 or 2.09 percent of the infected cases.
   New deaths: 91,727.
   Total infection cases: 153,219,834 or 1.97 percent of the population.
   New infection cases: 5,775,970 or a new infection ratio of 74.09 per 100,000 people.

How many fatalities is the Covid-19 really causing? The number of world deaths grew up to 7.28 percent of world cases on 24, 25 April 2020, and moved slowly downwards to the current value thereafter. However, we cannot trust the reports to be fully reliable. The 22 August 2020 Bloomberg newsletter warns that Though there are 175,000 confirmed U.S. deaths from the coronavirus, as many as 215,000 more people than usual died during the first seven months of 2020, pointing to a likely undercounting of the pandemic’s toll on America, the world’s worst-hit nation. There is no reason why a similar data discrepancy should not occur across the border in the other countries.


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Science Nobel prizes : small European countries at the top

areppim X-Y scatter chart and statistics of the number of science Nobel prize winners (chemistry, physics and physiology or medicine) per capita, 1901 to 2020, the per capita index calculated as the number of prizes divided by the population in millions and multiplied by 100.

Swiss people must be doing something right to rise to the very top of the Nobel ranking in terms of number of Nobel prizes for "hard science" — chemistry, physics and physiology or medicine — per capita. Swiss nationals collected 20 awards, thus positioning the nation in the sixth rank in absolute terms. Other small nations perform astoundingly well. Sweden, Denmark, Austria, the Netherlands, Israel, New Zealand and Norway are conspicuously placed in the top tier of the ranking.

arrow    Check the full 1901-2020 Nobel prize details »


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The Shanghai world universities ranking gives the standings of the 2020 race

areppim percent stacked column chart and statistics showing the number of top universities by region in 2020.

The world engaged in a mad rush to shine in the global university rankings. By 2020, the West still dominates, taking the top 20 slots : the U.S. with 15 universities, Europe with 5. However, the supremacy is threatened by a wave of Asia-Oceania universities eager to climb in the ranking and challenging the western leadership especially in the technical disciplines. In the 2020 Shanghai ranking of engineering universities, out of 22 subject areas, China universities ascend to the number one place in ten, and Singapore in two. Behind the pack leaders, a rising number of Chinese schools creep in the the top 500 list, eroding the former western monopoly. In the 17 years from 2003 to 2020, big China, including Hong-Kong and Taiwan, multiplied by 4.26 the number of universities in the top 500, while Europe and North America saw their presence reduced by 15 percent.

arrow    Check the full 2020 Shanghai university ranking details »


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Tourism : murder by Covid-19

To win on tourism you need more than a little bit of luck. Portugal had its lucky days – if ever a deluge of tourists may be seen as a good fortune. But the wheel of luck never stops spinning. The new coronavirus turned the Portuguese scaffold upside down in just a few weeks...

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Portugal's tourism revenues crashed

After growing at an average rate of 13.36 percent per year from 2013 to 2019, revenue per room for tourist accommodation stumbled and finished 2020 at less than half the 2019 value (-54.15%).


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Covid19 boosts Portugal's Government Debt

It had to happen, the coronavirus did it. The Portuguese economy started its journey into hell, courtesy of the Covid-19 pandemic. After the World Health Organization declared the pandemic on March 11, 2020, all the warning lights started flashing. The government debt, out of control as usual, has been boosted to a new historical peak of € million 262,056 or about 124 percent of GDP in April 2020.

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Portugueses government debt, 2008-2020


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2019 Billionaires On and Up

The share of wealth grabbed by the super-rich is staggering. From constant US$1.6 trillion in 1996, it climbed to 8.7 in 2019. Billionaires make just 0.00003 percent of the world population, but they currently own the equivalent of 12 percent of the GWP (gross world product). Nothing seems able to stop them.

Their number has gone on and up, from 423 in 1996 to 2,153 in 2019 (average growth rate of 7.3%...

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Line chart and statistics of the number and net worth of world billionaires from 1996 to 2019. The number of billionaires grew from 423 in 1996, to 2,153 in 2019 (7.3% annual average growth, or a 9.8-year doubling time).  Their net worth swelled in parallel from $US 1.6 trillion (constant, 2012=100) to $US 8.7  trillionillion (9.63% annual average growth or a 7.5-year doubling time)


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Corruption: Not Enough Lost Battles?

TI's (Transparency International) CPI (Corruption Perception Index) for 2018 opens with a candid acknowledgement. More than two-thirds of countries score below 50 on this year's CPI, with an average score of just 43. It reveals that the continued failure of most countries to significantly control corruption is contributing to a crisis in democracy around the world. While there are exceptions, the data shows that despite some progress, most countries are failing to make serious inroads against corruption....

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areppim line chart and statistics of CPI (corruption perceptions index) median, highest and lowest scores from 1995 to 2018. The index distribution has shifted towards the lower end of the scale along the 24-year period in the chart, exposing the generalized sliding towards a more corrupt environment. The shift affects all countries, including the least corrupt ones, revealing an ongoing albeit slow moral deterioration. The long term trend of the median index heralds loud and clear the triumph of corruption and the decay of probity across the planet.


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A Mobile-clogged Planet

ITU (International Telecommunications Union) estimates that by the end of 2018 there were 8.2 billion mobile subscribers worldwide, corresponding to a global penetration of 95%. This averages 10.7 mobile phones for 10 living persons.

Our new forecast anticipates a global market size of 8.4 billion subscribers by 2025, at 99.3% of saturation (estimated at 8.5 billion), equivalent to 104% of the population...

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areppim graph and statistics of actual mobile subscriptions until end 2018 and forecasts through 2025. By the end of 2018 there were 8.2 billion mobile subscribers worldwide, corresponding to a global penetration of 95%. This averages 10.7 mobile phones for 10 people


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"Every Healthy Person Is An Unwary Patient"

By late 2017, the AHA (American Heart Association) issued new guidelines setting normal blood pressure at less than 120 and 80, and the hypertension threshold at 130 over 80, in place of the previous 140 over 90 benchmark. They also established five, instead of the previous four blood pressure ranges as follows:


The new guidelines place a large percentage of the previously healthy population in the hypertension category, possibly requiring medical care and medication...

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Featured stats

U.S. Debt Clock   


Or about:

  • € 22,934.1 billion.
  • 133.1 percent of GDP
    (US GDP was $ 20,934.9 billion, as of end of FY2020).
  • $ 83,507 per US citizen.

US Gross Federal Debt. Calibrated from data from US Department of Treasury.

More debt clocks:
US Gross Federal Debt Outstanding
US External Debt
Portugal Government Debt
Portugal External Debt